Sweden League : 25 Oct 2013

5401  26/10/13  1.00AM
Hacken - Halmstad 38 2.03 3.32 3.51 25.10.2013 19:00
Hacken - Halmstad 1:3 1.80 3.59 4.14

BK HACKEN vs HALMSTADS
<1.85>1.50 <3.40>4.15 <3.40>4.50

BK HACKEN (-1.5)<3.75>2.60 HALMSTADS (1.5)<1.20>1.40
Average odds -11/2 : 3.55 1.27
Average odds 2.91 1.42

============
Brommapojkarna - AIK 37 4.15 3.45 1.82 26.10.2013 13:30
Brommapojkarna - AIK 43 4.51 3.60 1.73
Brommapojkarna - AIK 0:6 4.99 3.81 1.63
Average odds 1.38 3.00

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Djurgården - Gefle 35 1.73 3.48 4.64 27.10.2013 15:00
Djurgården - Gefle 43 1.69 3.56 4.89
Djurgården - Gefle 1:1 1.52 3.93 6.22

Average odds 3.00 1.38

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27/10/13  10.00PM
Mjallby - Goteborg 35 4.25 3.46 1.80 27.10.2013 15:00
Mjallby - Goteborg 43 4.23 3.49 1.80
Mjallby - Goteborg 2:1 4.41 3.51 1.77
<3.95>3.95 <3.50>3.50 <1.70>1.70


MJALLBY AIF (1.5)  <1.30>1.30  IFK GOTHENBURG (-1.5)  <3.05>3.05
Average odds 1.38 3.00


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28/10/13  12.30AM
Helsingborg - Kalmar 35 1.55 3.81 5.74 27.10.2013 17:30
Helsingborg - Kalmar 43 1.57 3.82 5.60
Helsingborg - Kalmar 2:3 1.55 3.94 5.64

<1.45>1.45 <3.75>3.75 <5.80>5.80


HELSINGBORG (-1.5)  <2.45>2.45  KALMAR (1.5) <1.45>1.45
Average odds 2.38 1.55


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Syrianska - Atvidabergs 35 4.16 3.51 1.80 27.10.2013 17:30
Syrianska - Atvidabergs 43 4.24 3.51 1.79
Syrianska - Atvidabergs 4:1 4.21 3.52 1.80
Average odds 1.38 3.00

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29/10/13  2.00AM
Norrkoping - Osters 34 1.91 3.41 3.79 28.10.2013 19:00
Norrkoping - Osters 41 1.86 3.48 3.98
Norrkoping - Osters 42 1.85 3.52 3.97

<1.80>1.80 <3.35>3.35 <3.65>3.65
NORRKOPING (-1.5)  <3.05>3.05  OSTERS IF (1.5)  <1.30>1.30
Average odds 3.00 1.38




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29/10/13  2.00AM
Elfsborg - Malmo FF  34 3.03 3.26 2.26 28.10.2013 19:05
Elfsborg - Malmo FF 41 3.04 3.25 2.28
Elfsborg - Malmo FF 42 3.01 3.24 2.29

<2.80>2.80 <3.15>3.15 <2.20>2.20

ELFSBORG (1.5)  <1.16>1.16  MALMO (-1.5)  <4.20>4.20
Average odds 1.22 4.15



=============

5401 26/10/13 1.00AM
SWEDISH LEAGUE
BK HACKEN vs HALMSTADS

Hacken - Halmstad 38 2.03 3.32 3.51

<1.85>1.85 <3.40>3.40 <3.40>3.40



BK HACKEN (-1.5)<3.75>3.75 HALMSTADS (1.5)<1.20>1.20
Average odds 3.55 1.27



Bet Type 03 - Half / Full Time Double
<3.35>3.35 <13.00>13.00 <26.00>26.00
<5.00>5.00 <5.00>5.00 <7.00>7.00
<23.00>23.00 <13.00>13.00 <5.50>5.50

haoha0s wrote:Opening odds suggest kelong. But moment now seems to say HW

Very dramatic moment going on now at spoolz.

Hao, from which angle do u see kelong at openings ( just curious)

Principle of "LONE" matchday ...
"NEVER follow fav drops ... >>DO follow upset odds drops though

-------------
Those matches that Spxx offers .... al would be eat +11/2 ..
Spxxx selects kelong matches.., then move down fav to trick punters "when" average fav drops

OK, your thoughts is from +11/2 ..

Yup, usually if fav is to win, -11/2 would be same or generally lower than Av.. ( Spxx worries fav may cross the AHO handicaps )

You are learning fast indeed... keep it up !!!!

Hiroshima - Vegalta Sendai 40 1.84 3.38 3.94 26.10.2013 09:00
Hiroshima - Vegalta Sendai 42 1.77 3.50 4.29
Hiroshima - Vegalta Sendai 42 1.73 3.55 4.40 >>>hw ??

<1.70>1.55 <3.45>3.80 <4.00>4.55 ...hw drop like anything
<1.70>1.53 <3.45>3.80 <4.00>4.70

S HIROSHIMA (-1.5) <2.90>2.70 VEGALTA SENDAI (1.5) <1.33>1.37
Average odds 2.85 1.40
S HIROSHIMA (-1.5)<2.90>2.70 VEGALTA SENDAI (1.5)<1.33>1.37 ( nc )
Average odds 2.85 1.40

Like in this case, Hao..

noted that -11/2 is LOWER than Av ( though +11/2 also lower )


Highly HW wins here, as Sppx not too sure if + or - 11/2 ( both possible )
** The opening FT 1x2 odds suggest no AW at openings

But I do not like this :
S HIROSHIMA (-1.5) <2.90>2.70 VEGALTA SENDAI (1.5) <1.33>1.37
Average odds 2.85 1.40

I skip this match, as winning at 1.53 is NOT worth the risk

haoha0s wrote:Helsingborg - Kalmar

Odds for this match doesnt seems right. Rank 4 vs Rank 5, and HW is so low?     Insider news? heh

28/10/13  12.30AM
Helsingborg - Kalmar 35 1.55 3.81 5.74 27.10.2013 17:30
Helsingborg - Kalmar 43 1.57 3.82 5.60
Helsingborg - Kalmar 2:3 1.55 3.94 5.64
<1.45>1.45 <3.75>3.75 <5.80>5.80

HELSINGBORG (-1.5)  <2.45>2.45  KALMAR (1.5) <1.45>1.45
Average odds 2.38 1.55

Hao, see my highlight on +11/2 ...
( from FT 1x2. spool expect a Draw but instead AW upset happens )


Most of the highlight on +11/2 comes true ... either fav did not win by 2 or Upsets

29/10/13  2.00AM
Norrkoping - Osters 34 1.91 3.41 3.79 28.10.2013 19:00
Norrkoping - Osters 41 1.86 3.48 3.98
Norrkoping - Osters 42 1.85 3.52 3.97
Norrkoping - Osters 42 1.85 3.51 3.98 .. 1pm
Norrkoping - Osters 42 1.84 3.54 3.95 ..5pm
Norrkoping - Osters  43 1.85 3.61 3.84

<1.80>1.80 <3.35>3.35 <3.65>3.65
<1.80>1.70 <3.35>3.45 <3.65>4.00 ...1pm
<1.80>1.68 <3.35>3.45 <3.65>4.10 ..5pm
<1.80>1.65 <3.35>3.60 <3.65>4.10 . 11pm

Norrkoping wins last 5 H2H, most level fav....
13. Norrkoping 14 7 0 7 27:25 21 ( H+2 )
12. Osters 14 3 4 7 12:22 13 ( A-10 )

Norrkoping loses the last 2 match, also their last 2 home games

Take HW, -11/2 ...


NORRKOPING (-1.5)  <3.05>3.05  OSTERS IF (1.5)  <1.30>1.30
Average odds 3.00 1.38
Average odds 3.10 1.35
NORRKOPING (-1.5)<3.05>2.90 OSTERS IF (1.5)<1.30>1.33 >> Av increase -11/2. Spxx drop !!
Average odds 3.10 1.35
NORRKOPING (-1.5)  <3.05>2.80  OSTERS IF (1.5) <1.30>1.35 ..5pm
Average odds 3.10 1.35
NORRKOPING (-1.5)<3.05>2.70 OSTERS IF (1.5)<1.30>1.37 ... thinks HW
Average odds 3.10 1.35


<2.80>2.80 <14.00>14.00 <29.00>29.00
<4.50>4.50 <5.00>5.00 <8.50>8.50
<21.00>21.00 <15.00>15.00 <7.00>7.00

<2.80>2.75 <14.00>14.00 <29.00>29.00
<4.50>4.50 <5.00>5.50 <8.50>8.50
<21.00>21.00 <15.00>14.00 <7.00>6.70 ... 1pm
Average
2.83 14.59 32.87 .. 4.84 5.53 8.74 ... 23.30 14.76 6.44

<2.80>2.70 <14.00>15.00 <29.00>29.00
<4.50>4.40 <5.00>5.50 <8.50>9.00
<21.00>21.00 <15.00>14.00 <7.00>6.70 .... 5pm
Average
2.81 14.49 32.88 .. 4.81 5.56 8.85 ... 23.10 14.91 6.51

<2.80>2.60 <14.00>15.00 <29.00>29.00
<4.50>4.40 <5.00>6.00 <8.50>9.00
<21.00>21.00 <15.00>14.00 <7.00>6.70 ( see Spxx also drops AA ??? )
Average
2.85 14.75 32.54 .. 4.91 5.74 8.71 ... 23.24 15.07 6.46 ( only AA drops )



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29/10/13  2.00AM
Elfsborg - Malmo FF  34 3.03 3.26 2.26 28.10.2013 19:05
Elfsborg - Malmo FF 41 3.04 3.25 2.28
Elfsborg - Malmo FF 42 3.01 3.24 2.29
Elfsborg - Malmo FF 43 3.10 3.27 2.23

<2.80>2.80 <3.15>3.15 <2.20>2.20
<2.80>3.10 <3.15>3.15 <2.20>2.05 ..5pm
<2.80>3.20 <3.15>3.15 <2.20>2.00 .......... D or A

1. Malmo FF 28 17 6 5 51:29 57
6. Elfsborg 28 11 10 7 47:32 43

8. Elfsborg 14 6 6 2 27:13 24 ( H+14)
1. Malmo FF 14 8 3 3 28:17 27 (A+11, best away team )

gD vs xL = ??
Malmo losses their last Away ( no consecutive Away losses )
Elfsborg Draw thei last 2 Home

H2H, normally HW when both meets..

Spxx odds does not support HW, think D or A .. SKIP this match



ELFSBORG (1.5)  <1.16>1.16  MALMO (-1.5)  <4.20>4.20
Average odds 1.22 4.15
Average odds 1.21 4.25
ELFSBORG (1.5)  <1.16>1.19  MALMO (-1.5)<4.20>3.85 ..5pm
Average odds 1.21 4.25
ELFSBORG (1.5)<1.16>1.20 MALMO (-1.5)<4.20>3.75
Average odds 1.23 4.10


<5.00>5.00 <13.00>13.00 <20.00>20.00
<6.50>6.50 <5.20>5.20 <5.00>5.00
<24.00>24.00 <13.00>13.00 <3.75>3.75
Average
4.70 13.52 25.11 .. 6.90 5.27 5.57 ... 28.18 13.52 3.54

<5.00>5.00 <13.00>13.00 <20.00>19.00
<6.50>7.00 <5.20>5.50 <5.00>5.00
<24.00>24.00 <13.00>13.00 <3.75>3.50
Average
4.71 13.57 25.00 .. 6.89 5.23 5.61 ... 28.12 13.52 3.57
Average
4.88 13.89 25.07 .. 7.00 5.13 5.54 ... 29.50 13.42 3.52

H-A, DD, D-A , AD , AA odds drops on Averages
Spool drops for H-A . AA .. ( increases odds for DD )

====

Round 29 ....(( Had only 1 fav win so far ))

Norrkoping (L) - (gD) Osters  42 1.85 3.52 3.97 28.10.2013 19:00
Elfsborg (xD) - (xW) Malmo FF 42 3.01 3.24 2.29 28.10.2013 19:05


Djurgården(w) -(bw) Gefle 1:1 1.52 3.93 6.22 27.10.2013 = Draw
Helsingborg (BL) - (L) Kalmar 2:3 1.55 3.94 5.64 27.10.2013
Mjallby(L)  - (xD) Goteborg 2:1 4.41 3.51 1.77 27.10.2013 = HW
Syrianska (bL ) - (BW)Atvidabergs 4:1 4.21 3.52 1.80 27.10.2013 = HW
Brommapojkarna (GL ) - (xW ) AIK 0:6 4.99 3.81 1.63 26.10.2013
Hacken (gD)-  (W) Halmstad 1:3 1.80 3.59 4.14 25.10.2013


Round 28
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28. Round ( 4 fav wins )
AIK (w) - (xL) Norrkoping 1:0 1.50 4.24 5.84 21.10.2013
Halmstad (bL) - (L) Mjallby 1:0 1.90 3.47 3.81 21.10.2013 = HW
Kalmar(gW) - (W) Djurgården 1:2 2.38 3.23 2.90 21.10.2013
Atvidabergs (D) - (BW) Helsingborg 3:0 3.54 3.49 1.97 20.10.2013 = ... HW
Elfsborg (BW) - (bW) Hacken 0:0 1.80 3.54 4.26 20.10.2013 ... = DRAW
Goteborg (L ) - (BL) Osters 0:0 1.42 4.35 7.04 20.10.2013 ...... = DRAW
Malmo FF (bL) - (D)Brommapojkarna 2:1 1.25 5.57 10.62 20.10.2013 = HW
Gefle  (BW)- (bL )Syrianska 2:0 1.33 4.72 9.12 19.10.2013

27. Round (3 fav wins )
Djurgården (BW) -  (L)Goteborg 2:1 2.71 3.29 2.47 06.10.2013
Hacken (D)- (w) Malmo FF 2:0 3.43 3.44 2.03 06.10.2013 ....... = HW
Helsingborg 9gD) -  (BL)Halmstad 4:2 1.39 4.60 7.07 06.10.2013
Osters (L) - (D) Gefle 1:4 2.28 3.21 3.06 06.10.2013
Syrianska (L)  - (xD) Elfsborg 1:3 7.68 4.54 1.38 06.10.2013
Brommapojkarna (w) - (bL ) Atvidabergs 0:0 2.04 3.31 3.52 05.10.2013 ..= D
Norrkoping (BW)- (gW)Kalmar 0:1 1.89 3.47 3.85 05.10.2013
Mjallby (gL ) - (xW) AIK 2:3 3.83 3.44 1.91 04.10.2013 ............... = HW


26. Round ( 3 fav wins )
AIK - Osters 2:1 1.38 4.48 7.85 30.09.2013
Atvidabergs - Norrkoping 1:3 2.35 3.28 2.90 30.09.2013
Gefle - Hacken 0:0 2.68 3.24 2.54 30.09.2013
Malmo FF - Mjallby 1:0 1.24 5.64 11.14 30.09.2013
Elfsborg - Helsingborg 1:1 1.85 3.53 3.97 29.09.2013
Halmstad - Djurgården 1:4 3.05 3.27 2.27 29.09.2013
Kalmar - Goteborg 2:1 3.38 3.35 2.07 29.09.2013
Syrianska - Brommapojkarna 1:2 3.80 3.41 1.93 28.09.2013

Round 25 ( 3fav )

Round 24 ( 2 fav, 1 level = 3 )

Round 23 ( 4 fav )

Round 22 ( 5 fav )

Round 21 ( 3 fav )

Round 20 ( 4 fav )

Round (19) ( 4 fav )

Checking to see any kangtao ..

NORRKOPING (-1.5) <3.05>3.05 OSTERS IF (1.5) <1.30>1.30
Average odds 3.00 1.38
Average odds 3.10 1.35

Initial thought was Spxx +11/2 ( -11/2 higher, now no more, cos hw odds drops )

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ELFSBORG (1.5) <1.16>1.16 MALMO (-1.5) <4.20>4.20
Average odds 1.22 4.15
Average odds 1.21 4.25

Initial thought was Spxx +11/2 ( -11/2 higher, now no more, cos hw odds drops )

(( but it contradicts the fav wins in each week !!! )) .. so far only 1 fav wins, thus
these 2 would be likely another 2 fav wins !!!!

Headache ...

A disaster for me, hao

Bought HW and contribute to charity cause ... !!