Sweden League : 20 Sept 2013

5401  21/09/13  1.00AM
Osters - Halmstad 01 2.10 3.25 3.20 20.09.2013 19:00 (B win )
Osters - Halmstad 44 1.87 3.35 4.11 20.09.2013 19:00
Osters - Halmstad 44 1.88 3.39 4.06
bwin (ww 1.85 3.25 3.90
Osters - Halmstad  44 1.90 3.39 3.94
bet365 (www) 1.85 3.50 4.20
Osters - Halmstad 44 1.91 3.39 3.93
Osters - Halmstad 0:1 1.90 3.40 3.93
bwin (ww1.85 3.25 3.90 ..Wrong


<1.78>1.78 <3.25>3.25 <3.85>3.85

OSTERS IF (-1.5)<3.15>3.15 HALMSTADS (1.5)<1.28>1.28
Average odds 3.35 1.30
Average odds 3.55 1.27 ( >> +11/2 )

Bet Type 03 - Half / Full Time Double
<3.00>3.00 <13.00>13.00 <30.00>30.00
<4.80>4.80 <5.30>5.30 <7.20>7.20
<21.00>21.00 <14.00>14.00 <6.20>6.20


13. Osters 23 6 7 10 22:32 25
14. Halmstad 23 4 9 10 20:32 21

4. Osters 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
9. Halmstad 5 2 1 2 4:4 7

14. Osters 11 3 4 4 11:12 13 ( H-1 )
13. Halmstad 11 2 4 5 11:18 10 ( A-7)


H2H ( HW almost )
Halmstad Osters 1:0 2.20 3.24 3.19 details 05.05.2013

Halmstad Osters 3:2 2.12 3.28 3.19 details 27.09.2012
Osters Halmstad 2:1 2.14 3.25 3.18 details 07.05.2012

Osters Halmstad 3:0 2.04 3.38 3.12 details 22.02.2012

Osters Halmstad 4:0 2.76 3.22 2.28 details 15.02.2011

Halmstad Osters 3:3 1.75 3.47 4.39 details 10.03.2010

 

------------
Kalmar - Gefle   1 1.70 3.40 4.50 21.09.2013 16:00 ( B win )
Kalmar - Gefle 42 2.06 3.27 3.48 21.09.2013 16:00
Kalmar - Gefle 0:0 2.13 3.23 3.37 ( no HW )
bwin (ww 2.05 3.20 3.30 ..OK



Brommapojkarna - Hacken   1 2.80 3.25 2.30 22.09.2013 15:00 (B win )
Brommapojkarna - Hacken  41 3.56 3.38 2.00 22.09.2013 15:00
Brommapojkarna - Hacken 1:0 3.29 3.40 2.10  ( hw )
bwin (ww3.20 3.30 2.05 .. BW wrong !



Mjallby - Elfsborg  1 2.85 3.20 2.30 22.09.2013 15:00 ( B win )
Mjallby - Elfsborg 41 3.37 3.36 2.08 22.09.2013 15:00
Mjallby - Elfsborg 2:2 3.06 3.32 2.24 ( no AW )
bwin (ww2.95 3.25 2.20



Djurgården - Atvidabergs   1 2.25 3.20 2.90 22.09.2013 17:30 ( B win )
Djurgården - Atvidabergs 41 1.81 3.46 4.24 22.09.2013 17:30
Djurgården - Atvidabergs 2:0 1.72 3.55 4.71
bwin (ww1.70 3.40 4.50 ...OK


Helsingborg - Syrianska   1 1.15 6.00 15.00 22.09.2013 17:30 ( B win )
Helsingborg - Syrianska  41 1.16 7.11 15.22 22.09.2013 17:30
Helsingborg - Syrianska 2:2 1.14 7.57 15.92
bwin (ww1.14 6.50 14.00



Norrkoping - Malmo FF   1 3.45 3.20 2.00 22.09.2013 17:30 ( B woin )
Norrkoping - Malmo FF 41 3.51 3.39 2.01 22.09.2013 17:30
Norrkoping - Malmo FF 0:2 3.64 3.44 1.95
bwin (ww3.25 3.40 2.00



5402  24/09/13  1.00AM
Goteborg - AIK 01 2.20 3.20 3.00 22.09.2013 16:00 ( B win )
Goteborg - AIK 38 2.23 3.23 3.14 23.09.2013 19:05
Goteborg - AIK 40 2.22 3.26 3.13
bwin (w 2.15 3.20 3.10
Goteborg - AIK  40 2.17 3.27 3.22
Goteborg - AIK 42 2.16 3.28 3.24 FIN 3:1 ..... ( ht 1-0)


<2.10>2.10 <3.15>3.15 <3.00>3.00
<2.10>1.90 <3.15>3.28 <3.00>3.35

   
IFK GOTHENBURG (-1.5)<4.05>4.05 AIK STOCKHOLM (1.5)<1.17>1.17
IFK GOTHENBURG (-1.5)<4.05>3.55 AIK STOCKHOLM (1.5)<1.17>1.22
Average odds 4.00 1.23


Bet Type 03 - Half / Full Time Double
<3.90>3.90 <13.00>13.00 <28.00>28.00
<4.75>4.75 <5.20>5.20 <6.00>6.00
<23.00>23.00 <13.00>13.00 <5.00>5.00

<3.90>3.40 <13.00>13.00 <28.00>32.00 ... Drops H-H and D-H, also A-H
<4.75>4.30 <5.20>5.20 <6.00>7.80
<23.00>22.00 <13.00>13.00 <5.00>5.50 ... Increases H-A, D-A and A-A ( D no change )

Observations : Spooz lower for hh, dh, ah .. hd, ad

Average :
3.64 13.78 28.76
5.36 4.94 6.94
25.76 14.16 5.24 .....

Average :
3.56 13.99 29.29 ... h-h drops
5.32 4.97 7.22 ....... dh drops
25.10 14.22 5.42 .... ah drops ...... HW ????


3. Goteborg 23 13 5 5 38:23 44
4. AIK 23 12 6 5 37:23 42

Forms :
2. Goteborg 5 4 0 1 10:4 12 ( F+6)
6. AIK 5 2 1 2 6:4 7 ( F+2)

1. Goteborg 11 8 2 1 23:9 26 ( H+14)
3. AIK 11 6 1 4 16:14 19 ( A+2 )

========


Head-to-head: Goteborg - AIK

OBSERVATION : in past meetings Gotenborg wins HW on odds below 2.00
( above 2 cannot make it )

Wait for Av to drop below 2 to take HW.. else danger
( spoolz on HW, but Draw remains )

Allsvenskan 2013
AIK Goteborg 3:1 2.33 3.20 2.99 details 06.05.2013

Allsvenskan 2012
Goteborg AIK 0:1 2.56 3.22 2.63 details 21.10.2012
AIK Goteborg 1:1 2.26 3.17 3.08 details 12.04.2012

Allsvenskan 2011
Goteborg AIK 3:1 1.97 3.35 3.65 details 04.08.2011
AIK Goteborg 2:0 2.45 3.20 2.80 details 21.04.2011

Allsvenskan 2010
AIK Goteborg 1:2 2.79 3.16 2.46 details 29.08.2010
Goteborg AIK 4:0 1.89 3.31 3.99 details 06.05.2010

Super Cup 2010
AIK Goteborg 1:0 2.59 3.13 2.64 details 06.03.2010

Svenska Cupen 2009
AIK Goteborg 2:0 2.27 3.26 2.98 details 07.11.2009

Allsvenskan 2009
Goteborg AIK 1:2 2.15 3.18 3.31 details 01.11.2009
AIK Goteborg 1:0 2.38 3.22 2.83 details 13.07.2009

Forms
10Bet (w2.00 3.30 3.80 ............................ x 7
888sport (2.00 3.30 3.85 ..........X4
Bestbet (w1.98 3.35 3.70 ............... x5
bet-at-home (w1.90 3.30 3.65 ...x4
bet365 (w2.00 3.40 3.75 .....x3
Betclic (w2.00 3.20 3.90 ..................x 5
Betsafe (w1.98 3.40 3.75 .......................x 6
Betsson (w2.00 3.45 3.75 ................x 5
bwin (ww1.95 3.30 3.50 .......... x4

Osters - Halmstad 01 2.10 3.25 3.20 20.09.2013 19:00 (B win )
Osters - Halmstad 44 1.87 3.35 4.11 20.09.2013 19:00
Osters - Halmstad 44 1.88 3.39 4.06
bwin (ww 1.85 3.25 3.90


Osters - Halmstad 44 1.90 3.39 3.94

10Bet (www) 1.91 3.40 4.00
Betsafe (www) 1.88 3.35 4.25

Bestbet (www) 1.87 3.35 4.10
Betclic (www) 1.90 3.60 3.75
Betsson (www) 1.90 3.40 4.25

1st conclusion : No AW
Likely no D, probably HW

H2H ( HW almost )
Halmstad Osters 1:0 2.20 3.24 3.19 details 05.05.2013

Halmstad Osters 3:2 2.12 3.28 3.19 details 27.09.2012
Osters Halmstad 2:1 2.14 3.25 3.18 details 07.05.2012

Osters Halmstad 3:0 2.04 3.38 3.12 details 22.02.2012

Osters Halmstad 4:0 2.76 3.22 2.28 details 15.02.2011

Halmstad Osters 3:3 1.75 3.47 4.39 details 10.03.2010

=======

Hao, when they meet .. whoever Home wins ..
( except 3-3 on 2010 )

haoha0s wrote:Yes i saw that too. And osters always BW! Maybe explained the low -1.5 from spoolz

<3.00>3.00 <13.00>13.00 <30.00>30.00
<4.80>4.80 <5.30>5.30 <7.20>7.20
<21.00>21.00 <14.00>14.00 <6.20>6.20

Hao, skip this ,match.. H-H and D-H is too at spoolz..

Think Spoolz is giving us a FAT lady ..

( see Bwin started with high odds for HW )..

I am watching this match after FT and do a post analysis later )

Average HT -FT is

2.96 14.90 33.44
4.58 4.49 8.41
23.61 14.82 6.72

<3.00>3.00 <13.00>13.00 <30.00>30.00
<4.80>4.80 <5.30>5.30 <7.20>7.20
<21.00>21.00 <14.00>14.00 <6.20>6.20

haoha0s wrote:Roger that Summit bro. Still learning to spot pretty girls. heh

Okie thanks Summit bro. Await ur post analysis.

D or AW from the Ht-FT odds ...

HT 0-1

A-A at 6.20 with spoolz is too low !! ( supported by Low A-D some more ! )
But of course, it could be A-H ( but this match unlikely over 2.5 )

FT 0-1

Luckily , took some time to consult Mr. htft and did not accept that FAT lady Spoolz gave ..
probably a hundred pounder...hehehe

haoha0s wrote:IFK GOTHENBURG vs AIK STOCKHOLM
<2.10>1.90 <3.15>3.28 <3.00>3.35
Average odds 2.23 3.26 3.14

IFK GOTHENBURG (-1.5)<4.05>3.55 AIK STOCKHOLM (1.5)<1.17>1.22
Average odds 4.25 1.21

Seems like a HW in the making. 

<3.90>3.40 <13.00>13.00 <28.00>32.00 ... Drops H-H and D-H, also A-H
<4.75>4.30 <5.20>5.20 <6.00>7.80
<23.00>22.00 <13.00>13.00 <5.00>5.50 ... Increases H-A, D-A and A-A ( D no change )

Hao spool H-d, d-d, a-d no move leh

Observations : Spooz lower for hh, dh, ah .. hd, ad

Average :
3.64 13.78 28.76
5.36 4.94 6.94
25.76 14.16 5.24 .....


3. Goteborg 23 13 5 5 38:23 44
4. AIK 23 12 6 5 37:23 42

Forms :
2. Goteborg 5 4 0 1 10:4 12 ( F+6)
6. AIK 5 2 1 2 6:4 7 ( F+2)

1. Goteborg 11 8 2 1 23:9 26 ( H+14)
3. AIK 11 6 1 4 16:14 19 ( A+2 )

========


Head-to-head: Goteborg - AIKall

OBSERVATION : in past meetings Gotenborg wins HW on odds below 2.00
( above 2 cannot make it )

Wait for Av to drop below 2 to take HW.. else danger
( spoolz on HW, but Draw remains )

Forms

10Bet (w2.00 3.30 3.80 ............................ x 7
888sport (2.00 3.30 3.85 ..........X4
Bestbet (w1.98 3.35 3.70 ...............  x5
bet-at-home (w1.90 3.30 3.65 ...x4
bet365 (w2.00 3.40 3.75 .....x3
Betclic (w2.00 3.20 3.90 ..................x 5
Betsafe (w1.98 3.40 3.75 .......................x 6
Betsson (w2.00 3.45 3.75 ................x 5
bwin (ww1.95 3.30 3.50 .......... x4


Goteborg - AIK
2.23  3.25  3.14

10Bet (www)  2.25 3.25 3.20  (7x) ... saying D
Betsafe (www)  2.23 3.25 3.20 (6x).. No AW

Bestbet (www)  2.22 3.20 3.20 (5x).. saying D
Betclic (www)  2.20 3.25 3.20 .. no AW
Betsson (www)  2.25 3.25 3.25 .. saying D

bet-at-home (www)  2.20 3.30 2.90 (4x).. hw or aw
bet365 (www) 2.20 3.25 3.30 .. hw or D
bwin (www)  2.15 3.20 3.10 .. all also can ..gonna be sack soon !!!!

Goteborg - AIK 01 2.20 3.20 3.00 22.09.2013 16:00 ( B win )
Goteborg - AIK 38 2.23 3.23 3.14 23.09.2013 19:05
Goteborg - AIK 40 2.22 3.26 3.13
bwin (w 2.15 3.20 3.10

bwin moves dowm hw, moves up Aw but D remains unchanged


============

Handicaps

10Bet (www)  0, -0.5 1.94 1.91
188BET (www)  0, -0.5 1.97 1.95
5Dimes (www)  0, -0.5 1.96 1.90
Bestbet (www)  0, -0.5 1.89 1.84
bet365 (www) 0, -0.5 1.98 1.93
BetOnline (www)  0, -0.5 1.93 1.88
BetVictor (www)  0, -0.5 1.99 1.91
Canbet (www)  0, -0.5 1.97 1.87
ComeOn (www)  0, -0.5 1.94 1.91
Heaven Bet (www)  0, -0.5 1.93 1.89
Jetbull (www)  0, -0.5 1.89 1.84
Ladbrokes (www)  0, -0.5 1.89 1.88
Noxwin (www)  0, -0.5 1.89 1.84
Pinnacle Sports (www)  0, -0.5 1.98 1.94
SBOBET (www)  0, -0.5 2.00 1.92
Betfair (www)  0, -0.5 1.96 1.90
Average odds 1.94 1.89

Hao, currently AHO is  1.94 0:1/4 1.89

So wait and be patient

Hao, I am thinking of a theory..

By detecting ALL the FAV NOT WIN..

Split the bets on D and non -fav
many a times this can be detected

But the issue is about placing what units at D or at Upset ?

Thought about says whack D insure upset
or Whack upset and insure D
Make sure that the insure is just to break even, not to make profits, else No big wins
( reason for bw is that you could tahan several match losses as margins are high )

Give a thought about this issue.. perhaps we try some "paper bettings" and see the results..

WHY this thoughts ??

Match fixing are to ensure Fav do not wins, thus the chances of high profits on D or upsets..

At times Fav wins BIG..
Thus my thoughts about +11/2 usually wins many games, but cannot tahan several mistakes
as profits were thin..

Match fix for upsets or Fav non win .... or match fixed for fav to win big
Is there any other type of match fix that I am unaware ??

Total goals Over/Under very tricky
Classic example is ManCity vs Man Utd .. they offer odds to impress low goals
The timing of goals ensure difficulty for punters to "get out" or buy insurance during LIVE
( see many a time early goal within 10 mins.. then you monitor the odds..
they dun move .. or slowly.. and when time is up, suddenly odds moves very fast and punters
caught ) early goals means very high TG or 1 goal throughout the entire match..
For eg, Double quick goal ( 1 each ) for stuggart game last night 1: 1 and odds make OVER
high ( many punters thought 2-2 if draw ).. even penalty kick at 93 mins also misses ( cos OVER too highly punted during LIVE

Good records to see the trend settings.. well Done !!

Don't bet too many games ..

Wait patiently like a leopard or tiger, hit and run tactics

If finger itchy, plays some fun bets ( best if  see and no touch )

5402 24/09/13 1.00AM
Goteborg - AIK 01 2.20 3.20 3.00 22.09.2013 16:00 ( B win )
Goteborg - AIK 38 2.23 3.23 3.14 23.09.2013 19:05
Goteborg - AIK 40 2.22 3.26 3.13
bwin (w 2.15 3.20 3.10
Goteborg - AIK 40 2.17 3.27 3.22

<2.10>2.10 <3.15>3.15 <3.00>3.00
<2.10>1.90 <3.15>3.28 <3.00>3.35

I think HW ... ( not betting this though ) ..Av above 2.00 though it drops !